Sunday, May 12, 2013

MMM Weekend Update 5-12-13

Gold - Is in the process of back-testing the previous break-down out of a base channel. A successful test would see a rejection soon and at least one more leg down (red projection). However, if instead the price moves above the 'neutral zone', back into the channel again, the MT outcome could be very bullish.




Last week closed with what is typically a bullish hammer candle on Friday, but it's important to understand the 'flip side' of such candles. Playing candles is playing probabilities, there is a bullish and bearish one in each hammer candle:



Here is an example of a bullish hammer candle that failed:



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USD - Has been consolidating the last 4-5 weeks, a thrust to the upside could challenge a long term trend line above for the 4th time. As you know I'm a fan of the 'Rule of 4' (Ro4) which has a high probability of producing impulsive behavior when triggered.



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AUD/USD - Has produced a great example of a Ro4 that was triggered to the downside:





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Trade School - As part of my QG3 market signal service, I identify chart patterns that offer a high probability of providing a successful trading outcome. Recently I outlined a successful Ending Diagonal pattern in GBP/USD and a key bearish Hammer Candle as part of an ABC fibo price relationship in EUR/USD.

GBP/USD - Ending Diagonal


Outcome:



EUR/USD - Bearish Inverted Hammer on the Daily and ABC Fibo relationship:



Outcome:



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http://majormarketmovements.blogspot.com/p/mmm-market-signal.html

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Good Hunting out there,
Quad G