Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Morning Coffee with Quad G - 9/14/11

Gold - Some signs suggest wave C red is finished and wave D red higher to 1893 to 1920 is possible soon. But must stay above 1791, moving below that level would change the count and wave C could go much deeper into the 1710 to 1786 buy zone.

Silver - Still in trouble with downside potential:


The 3EMA, 10EMA, 20DMA ribbon has made a bearish crossover, and intra-day price is finding resistance at the 10EMA, a bearish indication.


The Purple trend-lines above are forming a parabolic arch to the downside, this is how water falls are built. PoS must recover above those trend-lines to avert a potential dump into the 34 to 36 level. Current ST action is uncommitted to the upside or downside as it 'straddles' the neckline (orange trend-line).

Crude - A rising wedge (orange) has bearish potential while below the green trend-line:


A potential 3rd of a 3rd count could see a sharp move down to the $60 level once the bearish rising wedge breaks down. However, moving above the wedge and green trend-line would likely ignite a short cover rally back up to $100+ (blue projection).

Eur/USD - Current price action is working inside a bear flag (orange channel) beneath the green trend-line:


The EW count is still bearish with a 5th wave down as a minimum. 5th wave behavior should be slow and choppy to the downside. A 3rd of a 3rd point of recognition is also possible, the attitude of that wave structure should be strong and sharp, a swift move that would likely have little trouble reaching 1.2500 or lower.


Good Hunting Folks!


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