Friday, September 9, 2011

Morning Coffee with Quad G - 9/9/11

Mornin' All,

Running out of time so this is going to be somewhat of a 'rush' job.

Gold - managed to break the 61.8% fibo and 1875 to fill a small 'near gap' at the 1886 level, then quickly reversed and tripped the lower channel line (blue):


You'll notice the choppy double zig-zag going up to finish {b} of C, filled that small gap and then sold down. But in the sell down another gap is formed, this too could be filled before proceeding lower. Critical resistance is now at 1886, key support at a ascending trend line below at 1810. If that support is broken today, this should confirm the expected slide lower toward {c} of C, target range 1786 to 1710ish.

USD - Moving up as anticipated. See my recent article here: http://majormarketmovements.blogspot.com/2011/09/usd-long-term-bullish-count-could-be.html The index is now about to knock on the black trend-line. Any choppy 3 wave consolidation near this black line will likely suggest that a break-out is likely to occur to the upside soon. Or a strong weekly close above today would also signal a break-out.

Dow - Gap city! Gap up down and sideways. Is the Dow now tracking the 'Swiss Cheese' market? In honor of the Swiss manipulating their currency?
Here is the Chart:


We now have 3 days with gaps that essentially have not been filled, and might be before further downside will develop. Key resistance is now at 11,477. A smaller bearish HnS can also be seen, with it's neckline at 10,934 today. Tripping that neckline would project a plunge to at least 10,150ish.

Soybeans - Price appears to be moving down into Back Test (BT) territory of the previous trend line Break Out (BO). Possibly a wave {ii} pull back before wave {iii} higher. If the BT fails as support (blue projection) then further selling is more likely, Chart:


Gotta run, all the best you!


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